From the model.
Posts about the methodology, the markets, and the math behind sharp prop betting. No tipsters. No locks. Just analysis.
How the Lyzos Score works (and why most picks score below 64)
A walkthrough of the 6-factor model, what each factor measures, and why our scoring scale is intentionally stingy. If the model said "strong play" on every prop, it wouldn't be worth anything.
Why NBA playoff scoring jumps +2.3 PPG (and what it means for props)
Top scorers consistently put up more points in the playoffs than in the regular season. Here's the data, why it happens, and how Vegas does (and doesn't) account for it in prop lines.
Goalie Fantasy Score, explained
Why we use 0.6 × saves − 1.0 × goals against to evaluate goaltender props, how it compares to DraftKings and FanDuel scoring, and where the formula falls short.
We post analysis pieces about once a week. Want to know when new posts go up? Let us know and we'll add you to the list.